Solana is navigating a turbulent market, contending with bearish momentum, yet historical price patterns suggest a compelling theorem for a rally toward the $300 mark in the foreseeable future.

After setting a remarkable all-time high of $264 on Nov. 23, Solana has yet to experience the anticipated price discovery phase.

Over the past 25 days, the altcoin's movement has been constrained to a downward trajectory, with the four-hour chart showing a consistent formation of lower highs (LHs) and lower lows (LLs).

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Source: TradingView

Bullish Flag Fractal Signals Indicates SOL to $300

While short-term sentiment remains cautious, the broader picture provides reasons for optimism. Long-term indicators highlight the potential for a significant upward move, with several market analysts forecasting new all-time highs for SOL in the months ahead.

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Source: TradingView

Solana’s daily chart offers a promising glimpse into its price trajectory, showcasing the recurrence of a bullish fractal pattern resembling the January 2024 bull flag. This setup previously catalyzed a triple-digit rally in Q1 2024, hinting at the potential for a similar upward surge.

The earlier bull flag breakout emerged after 30 days, while the current pattern has been developing for 25 days, suggesting an imminent resolution. Adding to this bullish outlook are key confluences: a successful price retest of the 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) and a reset of the relative strength index (RSI) below the 50 mark, both historically reliable indicators of upward momentum.

If Solana repeats this bullish fractal breakout, its immediate price target aligns with the 1.618 Fibonacci extension, positioned near the $320 range. Over the longer term, projections extend toward the 2.272 Fibonacci level, placing a potential rally peak around $440.

Solana Could Be Preparing for a Monstrous Return to Glory

Throughout most of Q4, Solana demonstrated strong relative performance, outpacing heavyweights like Ether and Bitcoin, as highlighted by data from Glassnode. 

However, in the past 30 days, the tables have turned—Ether and Bitcoin have surged by 26.96% and 17.49%, respectively, while Solana has lagged significantly, delivering a modest return of 1.61%.

Despite this underperformance and the wave of "troll-posting" within the crypto community, market insiders are taking a more bullish stance. Jelle, a well-known anonymous crypto trader, predicts Solana is gearing up for an “absolute monster run,” signaling a potential turnaround for the altcoin.

Further supporting this view is Solana’s ongoing test of critical support levels against Tether’s USDt, ETH, and BTC trading pairs. This technical resilience strengthens the likelihood of a near-term bounce, setting the stage for a renewed rally.

Not everyone is swayed by the bearish sentiment surrounding Solana. Zer0, an independent trader, downplayed the fear, uncertainty, and doubt (FUD) against SOL, describing its recent price action as a “simple breakout and retest” within a previously established resistance-turned-support range.

On the other hand, caution still exists among seasoned investors. Daan Crypto, a full-time crypto investor, highlighted a critical short-term hurdle for Solana.

According to Daan, SOL must decisively break above $235 to confirm a bullish break of structure (BOS) on the four-hour chart. This move would establish a higher high, a key signal of a renewed bullish trend for the altcoin.

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